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laodan is a 56 year old guy from Wisconsin, USA.
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THE WAY THINGS ARE: The meaning of life is to be found in thinking about what is reality and the beauty of reality is to be found in our DNA's memorization of all forms that have been successfully retained along the four billion years of evolution of the principle of life on Gaia our earth. In the end what I mean to say is that beauty is something objective and what we call ugliness is then simply our unconscientious feel of something evolution did not retain.
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321energy :: POWERFUL BULLMARKET IN US STOCKS LOOMS as the US prepares for GLOB…
Liked it 5:00pm 1 review energy-industry, energy, globalization, geopolitics
http://www.321energy.com/editorials/maund/maund042708.html
The US prepares for GLOBAL HEGEMONY via Twine by Steven Wears, in 321energy by Clive Maund
Complete control of the Mid-East, which the United States and the major oil companies are now close to having achieved, of course confers massive power over the rest of world, in particular over rising economic powers such as China and India and the immense leverage that this will in time afford can be used to steer these countries in whatever direction is desired. The US is believed to be involved in a strategic race against time to corner the bulk of the world's remaining oil reserves, the control of which can then be used to dissuade countries like China from resorting to the wholesale dumping of dollars or US Treasuries, along the lines of "Try it and we'll cut off your oil supply"... The US prepares for GLOBAL HEGEMONY
A must read that gives the reader to think really hard. This article gives a general vision without proving each steps of its argumentation. For that reason we might be tempted to reject it. But the vision makes sense and it challenges our minds to open up to the unknown that possibly is fashioning our future. We always should be aware that reality is not made of morality. Human reality, as far as our eyes can see along the road of history, is the outcome of games of power. There is always a winner and a loser. Even if it is difficult to imagine that the US is playing smart in Irak Clive Maund's article gives a plausible conclusion that the US appearance of dumbness could be a tactic to avoid its strategy being uncovered. I know, I know. BUT... if Maund's conclusion appeared to be verified by the facts a few years down the road then we would have to recognize that its present posture was plain genius. The only shortcoming I personally see in Maund's argument is its US unilaterality. It's a plausible vision but it does not account for how other powers play. In a game there is never one player left alone free to take the road he wants; there are other players who counter his actions. And it seems to me that in his description of the present geo-political game Clive Maund forgot to account for the positioning of the historical masters of gaming that are the Chinese. Does he really believe that his vision has not reached the calculus of the Chinese? No way. If the game played by the US is as Maund describes it then the Chinese have been thinking about a counter play. But again only time will tell.




http://www.aspousa.org/proceedings/houston/presentations/Chris%20Skrebowski%20me…
Liked it Jan 12, 5:23pm 1 review economics, energy-industry, energy, peak-resources
http://www.aspousa.org/proceedings/houston/presentations/Chris%20Skrebowski%2...
Just how close to Peak Oil are we? via TOD, by Chris Skrebowski
Chris Skrebowski, Trustee of the Oil Depletion Analysis Centre and Editor of Petroleum Review, Energy Institute, London, has written a 42-page peak oil analysis entitled "Megaprojects update: Just how close to Peak Oil are we?" Much of the arguments are similar to those presented by Matt Simmons, founder and chairman of the world's largest energy investment banking company, Simmons & Co. International. But some of the charts, like the one below, show some interesting numbers. Just how close to Peak Oil are we? FREE 42 pages PDF Peak Oil & Beyond in Resouce Investor, an interview by Bud Conrad of Matt Simmons ( Investment banker for 40 years. He is the founder and chairman of the world's largest energy investment banking company, Simmons & Co. International).
All liquids in Million Barrels per Day (MBD) All liquids in Million Barrels per Day (MBD)
Are we prepared for the energy crunch that is coming our way? I don't think so. But one think I'm sure about is that peak oil shall soon be accepted as a fact under the duress of oil's rarefaction that will impose price levels that more and more people simply will not be able to pay. So we are in for a social crisis without precedent.




The Oil Drum | At $100 Oil - What Can the Scientist Say to the Investor?
Liked it Jan 4, 10:05am 1 review economics, energy-industry, energy
http://www.theoildrum.com/node/3412
At $100 Oil - What Can the Scientist Say to the Investor? in The Oil Drum by Nate Hagens
While we are used to thinking about the economy in monetary terms, those of us trained in the natural sciences consider it equally valid to think about the economy and economics from the perspective of the energy required to make it run. When one spends a dollar, we do not think just about the dollar bill leaving our wallet and passing to some one else. Rather, we think that to enable that transaction, that is to generate the good or service being purchased, an average of about 8,000 kilojoules of energy (equal to roughly the amount of oil that would fill a coffee cup) must be extracted from the Earth and turned into roughly a half kilogram of carbon dioxide. Take the money out of the economy and it could continue to function through barter, albeit in an extremely awkward, limited and inefficient way. Take the energy out and the economy would immediately contract immensely or stop. At $100 Oil - What Can the Scientist Say to the Investor? Other papers by Charles Hall "The Power of Community"
Charles Hall is a systems ecologist. He studies and models how complex systems of nature and humans interact. One of his main points is that without energy human economies collapse. Earth, as a very complex system, is finite. Point. States can print, and the financial system can create, as much money as they wish. This difference between the 2 is not relative. It is an absolute difference. Hiding from that fact can only lead our societies to disaster. But such disaster would not only spell doom, for, it would also bring us closer to the end of the cycle of materialism... But this is another matter.




Asia Times Online :: Central Asian News and current affairs, Russia, Afghanis…
Liked it Dec 21, 2007 12:02pm 2 reviews economics, energy-industry, energy, geo-politics
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Central_Asia/IL22Ag01.html
Russia, Iran tighten the energy noose in Asia Times by M K Bhadrakumar career diplomat in the Indian Foreign Service for over 29 years, with postings including India's ambassador to Uzbekistan (1995-1998) and to Turkey (1998-2001).
... how Moscow proceeds with the reconfiguration of Russo-Iranian relations could well form the centerpiece of the geopolitics of energy security in Eurasia during 2008. The dynamics on this front will doubtless play out on a vast theater stretching well beyond the Eurasian space, all the way to China and Japan in the east and to the very heart of Europe in the west where the Rhine River flows. Russia, Iran tighten the energy noose
The general context of the world energy game: - the demand for energy is bound to increase fast in the next decades due to the rapid economic growth of the BRIC countries. - the worldwide offer of energy is stalling since a few years at its present plateau of some 86 million barrels per day. According to Peak Oil theory that plateau is bound to be left behind soon by decreasing output levels. This general context indicates that the prices of fossil fuels are bound to continually increase over the next decades until other sources of energy can successfully reduce the demand for fossil fuels by significant quantities. In the meantime we'll assist at a feverish dance on two fronts: - geopolitics: countries will position themselves so as to control the supply of the available fossil fuels to their own shores or to avoid the supply of their competitors. All means will be used including resorting to military force. - science and technology: huge budgets will be made available to scientists in order to devise new methods to generate energy and free us from our fossil fuel bind. Bhadrakumar gives here a masterly description of the geo-politics of fossil fuels.




Renewables booming in China: Report
Liked it Nov 17, 2007 11:29am 1 review energy-industry, china, energy
http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/bizchina/2007-11/17/content_6261328.htm
Renewables booming in China in China Daily about a new report released by the Worldwatch Institute written by Beijing-based researcher and Worldwatch senior fellow Eric Martinot and vice-chair of China's Renewable Energy Society in Beijing Li Junfeng
... if China continues with its commitment to diversifying its energy supply and becoming a global leader in renewables manufacturing, renewable energy could provide more than 30 percent of the nation's total by 2050. "A combination of policy leadership and entrepreneurial savvy is leading to spectacular growth in renewable energy, increasing its share of the market for electricity, heating and transport fuels," Martinot said. "China is poised to become a leader in renewables manufacturing, which will have global implications for the future of the technology." More than US$50 billion was invested in renewable energy worldwide in 2006, and China is expected to invest more than US$10 billion in developing new renewables capacity in 2007. The investment would be second only to that of Germany. Renewables booming in China China the focus in clean cars race
On a similar line than my last post. China, China... and its positioning as a world leader.




David Strahan | Articles - We are all peakists now - Schlesinger
Liked it Sep 18, 2007 11:02am 1 review economics, energy-industry, energy
http://www.davidstrahan.com/blog?p=42
We are all peakists now - Schlesinger via The Oil Drum, a podcast on David Stahan's blog
Former US Energy Secretary Dr James Schlesinger today claimed that the intellectual arguments over peak oil had been won, and that in effect "we are all peakists now". In the keynote speech at the first day of an oil depletion conference hosted by the Association for the Study of Peak Oil in Cork, Schlesinger said that oil industry executives now privately concede that the world faces an imminent oil production peak, and argued that a recent report by the US oil industry grouping the National Petroleum Council constituted "a backdoor admission that in the next decade or two we face a moment of truth". In a wide-ranging interview with Lastoilshock.com, Dr Schlesinger - who was also Defence Secretary and CIA Director - explains why he thinks "the battle is over, the peakists have won, and discusses the delusions of US energy policy, Iraq, Iran and $100 oil". We are all peakists now - Schlesinger interview with Dr James Schlesinger
Wow! First time confirmation of peak oil by high level establishment representative. What does peak oil imply in term of our daily lives? For one attach your seatbelt, for, the road ahead is going to be very chaotic. The ideological mirage of economic growth is simply going to vanish from our windows on the world. But what are the governments doing to prepare their countries adapting to this new reality? Well I see one government that is moving fast... check my last post on China converting coal to liquid fuel. Those of you who should not know about peak oil, please check these posts: - Global peak energy, living standards and levels of human population. - Peak Phosphorous - The Peak Oil Booklet




Coal producer to make liquid fuel in 2008
Liked it Sep 17, 2007 11:54am 1 review economics, energy-industry, china, energy
http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/bizchina/2007-09/17/content_6112461.htm
China coal producer to make liquid fuel in 2008 in China Daily from Xinhua
China's largest coal company Shenhua Group will produce China's first barrel of liquid fuel from coal in 2008 using self-owned technology known as direct coal liquefaction. ... the first production line would use 3.45 million tons of coal every year to make 1.08 million tons of liquid products. With a budget of 12.3 billion yuan and an annual production capacity of 5 million tons of oil, the project will be completed in two stages. In the first phase, three production lines will be installed. Experts estimated that by 2020, coupled with an annual capacity of 20 million tons of bio-oil, China's coal industry would be able to produce 50 million tons of oil products every year to help reduce the nation's oil import rate from current 60 percent to 45 percent. China coal producer to make liquid fuel in 2008
So China is preparing for peak oil. Ok but what do they speak about exactly? This article refers to the Erdos project financed by the Shenhua Group. Total capacity: 5,000,000 tons a year. But many other companies are planning to follow suit. Knowing that a barrel a day is roughly 50 tonnes a year the Erdos project of 5,000,000 ton/year corresponds to 100,000 barrels/day for an investment of some 1.6 billion USD. China presently consumes some 6,500,000 barrels a day but when the Erdos project shall be fully operational the country shall consume around 8,000,000 barrels a day. So the Erdos project corresponds to a coal conversion satisfying 1.25% of the total Chinese oil consumption. If those calculations are right and if everything goes according to plan replacing the total oil consumption with coal conversion would cost some 128 billion USD. China today has more than ten times this amount in foreign reserves!!!! Am I missing something here?




The Oil Drum | Saving 20 million barrels a day. The 100mpg hybrid car should be …
Liked it Aug 21, 2007 11:35am 3 reviews environment, energy-industry, energy
http://www.theoildrum.com/node/2883
The 100mpg hybrid car should be here, now! in TheOilDrum by Mark Yates
For many years the car companies have said the "the batteries aren't ready" and I'm sick of reading it. They are in fact so "ready" that within a few months to a year 3 relatively small automakers (further details below) will be thumbing their noses at the big 4 auto companies as they bring to market electric cars (and a pickup) with 300-700hp electric motors, 100mph+ top speed and 100-200+ mile ranges per charge. Which might lead many to ask, "why are car companies saying the batteries not ready". Meanwhile, several groups of people such as Calcars have been converting various hybrids into Plugin Hybrids capable of in excess of 100mpg (in combined city/highway driving). The technology easily exists for the 100mpg production car. Please, "big auto" just make some yourselves! The 100mpg hybrid car should be here, now!
Tesla Roadster, available Autumn 2007, has an electric motor no bigger than a watermelon
One hundred miles a gallon at 10 dollars a gallon would leave the driver with a gas bill identical to his present bill with gas at 3 dollars a gallon and an average of 30 miles per gallon. The difference with vehicles giving 100 miles a gallon would be in: - oil imports drastically reduced meaning a decrease in the current account shortfall and even possibly a positive current account. - emissions drastically reduced meaning that containing climate change would then appear to be feasible.




The Oil Drum | &Energy Resources and Our Future& - Speech by Hyman Rickover in 1…
Liked it Jun 30, 2007 11:28am 1 review economics, energy-industry, society, energy, complexity
http://www.theoildrum.com/node/2724
"Energy Resources and Our Future" in The Oil Drum - a 1957 Speech by Hyman Rickover
We live in what historians may some day call the Fossil Fuel Age. Today coal, oil, and natural gas supply 93% of the world's energy; water power accounts for only 1%; and the labor of men and domestic animals the remaining 6%. This is a startling reversal of corresponding figures for 1850 - only a century ago. Then fossil fuels supplied 5% of the world's energy, and men and animals 94%. Five sixths of all the coal, oil, and gas consumed since the beginning of the Fossil Fuel Age has been burned up in the last 55 years. Looking into the future, from the mid-20th Century, we cannot feel overly confident that present high standards of living will of a certainty continue through the next century and beyond. Fossil fuel costs will soon definitely begin to rise as the best and most accessible reserves are exhausted, and more effort will be required to obtain the same energy from remaining reserves. It is likely also that liquid fuel synthesized from coal will be more expensive. Can we feel certain that when economically recoverable fossil fuels are gone science will have learned how to maintain a high standard of living on renewable energy sources? I suggest that this is a good time to think soberly about our responsibilities to our descendants - those who will ring out the Fossil Fuel Age. Energy Resources and Our Future
Written in 1957. Amazing is it not? Societal change is always slow and always has prophets who are not heard by the decision makers and the citizens. 1. Societies are like very large ensembles containing smaller ensembles that in turn contain other smaller ensembles at the image of Russian dolls. The difference between Russian dolls and societies is in the quantities of sub-ensembles each of them contains. Russian dolls contain 6, 10 or some more while societies contain an unknown number, not infinite in absolute terms, but surely infinite in term of human comprehension. 2. Each ensemble and sub-ensemble constituting the whole is composed of a series of factors that inter-relate upon one another. 3. Societal change emerges out of the complexity made up by all the interrelations between the multitude of factors at work in human societies. Force is to observe that we do not till this very day master the knowledge to understand such complexity and perhaps never will...




Massive capital for renewable power
Liked it Oct 26, 2006 8:53am 2 reviews energy-industry, energy
http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/bizchina/2006-10/26/content_717158.htm
China: Massive capital for renewable power in China Daily by Xie Chuanjiao China will invest 1.5 trillion yuan (US$187.5 billion) to increase the ratio of renewable energy consumption, said Wu Guihui, vice-director-general of the Bureau of Energy under the National Development and Reform Commission. Currently, 7.5 per cent of China's energy comes from renewable sources. The country's goal is to make it 10 per cent by 2010 and 16 per cent by 2020, revised from its initial goal of 20 per cent. "Within 10 years, we will see a population of 30 million, in all the remote rural areas, have access to electricity, mainly from renewable energy-powered projects," Wu told the Great Wall World Renewable Energy Forum & Exhibition on Tuesday in Beijing. URL: Massive capital for renewable power
Encouraging signs coming from the South but why is the North so slow?




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